Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 7.655920 8.776334 10.020510 11.507462 13.240029 15.199551 17.590048
2025-01-05 6.172378 7.614300 9.348999 11.600371 14.460637 17.993746 22.720237
2025-01-12 5.215488 6.779827 8.773236 11.520428 15.240444 20.148377 27.189599
2025-01-19 4.521196 6.128965 8.274760 11.379797 15.810280 21.983588 31.375300
2025-01-26 4.166270 5.861100 8.217953 11.780659 17.110138 24.914724 37.446849
2025-02-02 3.838724 5.578872 8.087923 12.030636 18.183140 27.606101 43.498926
2025-02-09 3.623335 5.426542 8.115247 12.496021 19.609149 30.975871 51.068484
2025-02-16 3.252604 4.996196 7.670760 12.164655 19.713610 32.225831 55.262897
2025-02-23 2.979753 4.687540 7.378280 12.033444 20.111219 33.978530 60.537436
2025-03-02 2.746798 4.418130 7.118123 11.919247 20.509389 35.756191 66.078789
2025-03-09 2.529539 4.153062 6.837303 11.733919 20.749571 37.261354 71.292966
2025-03-16 2.322056 3.885250 6.525680 11.457958 20.785181 38.377096 75.876270
2025-03-23 2.258992 3.862460 6.638248 11.966988 22.360522 42.645726 87.625432
2025-03-30 2.139590 3.729748 6.543698 12.080139 23.185072 45.543284 96.942063
2025-04-06 2.004136 3.556010 6.358164 11.997665 23.605868 47.663048 104.867856
2025-04-13 1.873314 3.379580 6.151482 11.850707 23.873369 49.485664 112.393141
2025-04-20 1.825063 3.353179 6.224650 12.269844 25.374615 54.163699 127.491673
2025-04-27 1.760981 3.290836 6.222094 12.531246 26.563128 58.297358 141.969702
2025-05-04 1.725875 3.281616 6.322453 13.017962 28.307978 63.944756 161.357740
2025-05-11 1.605947 3.094636 6.049516 12.671399 28.107441 64.941192 168.521101
2025-05-18 1.516680 2.962896 5.879161 12.534182 28.380692 67.128593 179.361252
2025-05-25 1.436035 2.842855 5.723554 12.414763 28.682234 69.425211 190.933559
2025-06-01 1.354793 2.715725 5.543041 12.220971 28.779410 71.208864 201.331519